Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000472 0.000527 0.000588 0.000662 0.000748 0.000847 0.000970
2024-12-29 0.000389 0.000464 0.000554 0.000674 0.000831 0.001033 0.001322
2025-01-05 0.000339 0.000423 0.000532 0.000687 0.000909 0.001226 0.001736
2025-01-12 0.000295 0.000381 0.000498 0.000674 0.000944 0.001362 0.002112
2025-01-19 0.000273 0.000364 0.000492 0.000695 0.001029 0.001593 0.002723
2025-01-26 0.000243 0.000330 0.000457 0.000666 0.001026 0.001673 0.003090
2025-02-02 0.000226 0.000313 0.000445 0.000671 0.001079 0.001867 0.003775
2025-02-09 0.000215 0.000304 0.000442 0.000689 0.001161 0.002138 0.004789
2025-02-16 0.000204 0.000294 0.000438 0.000704 0.001237 0.002421 0.006028
2025-02-23 0.000197 0.000289 0.000441 0.000730 0.001341 0.002808 0.007903
2025-03-02 0.000188 0.000279 0.000433 0.000737 0.001405 0.003120 0.009836
2025-03-09 0.000176 0.000265 0.000417 0.000724 0.001423 0.003313 0.011517
2025-03-16 0.000167 0.000255 0.000408 0.000727 0.001485 0.003685 0.014700
2025-03-23 0.000160 0.000247 0.000403 0.000737 0.001569 0.004177 0.019649
2025-03-30 0.000153 0.000241 0.000399 0.000750 0.001666 0.004782 0.027221
2025-04-06 0.000145 0.000229 0.000385 0.000735 0.001684 0.005108 0.033839
2025-04-13 0.000141 0.000226 0.000386 0.000759 0.001821 0.006026 0.051937
2025-04-20 0.000131 0.000212 0.000365 0.000726 0.001776 0.006105 0.059607
2025-04-27 0.000127 0.000206 0.000360 0.000732 0.001855 0.006857 0.086781
2025-05-04 0.000123 0.000204 0.000361 0.000753 0.001994 0.008079 0.148724
2025-05-11 0.000120 0.000200 0.000361 0.000769 0.002123 0.009426 0.268916
2025-05-18 0.000118 0.000199 0.000365 0.000798 0.002314 0.011490 0.639847
2025-05-25 0.000115 0.000195 0.000361 0.000806 0.002423 0.013149 1.459682